Bereits das dritte Mal in Folge liegt Donald Trump in der monatlich erhobenen Umfrage des von der Sunday Express beauftragten Democracy Institute vor seinen Herausforderer „Sleepy Biden“. Demnach führt Trump mit 48 Prozent, Biden liegt mit 46% klar hinter ihm.
Democracy Institute/ Sunday Express
National Popular Vote
Trump = 48%
Biden = 46%
Undecided = 6%
White voters: Trump = 53% Biden = 46%
Black: Trump 20% Biden = 77%
Hispanic: Trump 38% Biden = 51%
Battleground States – Popular Vote
Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin
Trump = 48%
Biden = 43%
Undecided = 9%
Florida – Popular VoteFlorida – Popular Vote
Trump = 47%
Biden = 45%
Undecided = 8%
Minnesota – Popular Vote
Trump = 46%
Biden = 45%
Undecided = 9%
New Hampshire – Popular Vote
Trump = 46%
Biden = 43%
Undecided = 11%
Electoral College Vote Projection (if election voting mirrored these poll results)
270 needed to win
Trump = 309 [picks-up Minnesota & New Hampshire]
Biden = 229 [picks-up Wisconsin]
Enthusiasm Gap?
Q. “Are you strongly or very enthusiastic about your choice of candidate?”
Trump voters = 79%
Biden voters = 41%
Q. “Is your vote for Trump/Biden a positive vote for your candidate or a negative vote against his opponent?
Trump voters: positive vote = 84%; negative vote = 16%
Biden voters: positive vote = 32%; negative vote = 68%
Q “Could your vote change before Election Day?”
Trump voters: Yes = 4%
Biden voters: Yes = 10%
‘Shy’ Trump Vote?
Questions to Undecided Voters
Q “Does a relative, friend, or coworker plan to vote for Trump?”
Yes = 71%
No = 29%
Q “Will President Trump be reelected?”
Yes = 54%
No = 46%
Q “Which candidate will win the first presidential debate?”
Trump = 62%
Biden = 38 %
Question to All Voters
Q “Are you comfortable with your relatives, friends, and coworkers knowing how you vote?”
Trump voters: Yes = 27%
Biden voters: Yes = 83%
Q “Which candidate will win the first presidential debate?”
Trump = 53%
Biden = 47%
Trump’s National Job Approval
Approve = 50%
Disapprove = 48%
Party ID
Republican = 84%
Democrat = 25%
Independent = 44%
Race/ethnicity
White = 57%
Black = 40%
Hispanic = 43%
Gender
Men = 53%
Women = 45%
Religion
Evangelical = 90%
Protestant = 59%
Catholic = 61%
Jewish = 32%
Atheist = 12%
Quelle: jornalistenwatch.com
Bild: Unsplash – visuals
